EQT → Intertek
Sealed prediction · 20 Jun 2026 · in progress
Deal announced: 18 Jun 2026
Buyout fund EQT acquires British inspection giant Intertek for ~£10.9bn and takes it private, after a long tug-of-war over price.
The three possible outcomes
Closes as expected
70%
Closes, below expectations
20%
Falls through
10%
Why these estimates. A firm offer and a high premium (+62%): closing is very likely. Once private, though, the value created (or destroyed) will no longer be visible to the public.
Confidence: medium–high
● Seal sha256 · 29b9ab0449a25952c897b025a5dfd69b98d031552c30a687015ac199e0388e40
Seal computed on the sealed Italian original — translating the displayed text never alters it.
⛓Anchored to Bitcoin · OpenTimestampsdownload the proof (.ots)Tamper-evident proof of existence: it attests when the analysis was sealed, not whether it is correct. Verify independently at opentimestamps.org
Resolution criteria
"Salta" (falls through): offer withdrawn or lapsed without completion. "Si chiude come previsto" (closes as expected): scheme of arrangement completed at the announced price by 30 June 2027. "Si chiude, sotto attese" (closes below expectations): completed at a price different from the announced one (higher or lower), with additional conditions, or after 30 June 2027 — by declaration, any deviation from the announced plan resolves here. Resolution based on official issuer announcements or rulings by the competent authorities (ente/primaria tier sources); the card closes at the first condition met.
● Addendum of 9 Aug 2026 — own sha256 seal · 63c3bfef18b194c1a40b58a15f951dba3df5fc41f98ef727fc41ca4ccd45c928
Seal computed on the sealed Italian original — translating the displayed text never alters it.